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Revisiting the 2011 Fantasy Hockey Forecast

by Chewbacca 14. August 2012 09:11

As we prepare to unleash our 2012-13 draft ranking and player notes upon the fantasy hockey universe, it's worth taking a moment and revisiting last year's predictions.  After all, advice is only good if it comes true.  More often than not, we hit the mark, or at least came close enough to put your draft on the right track.  At times, however, the NHL showed us that some things just can't be forecasted.  Here are some high (and low) excerpts from last year's pre-season package:



Rick Nash:

Quote: "You know what you're getting when you draft Nash. 30+ goals and about the same number of assists. Don't expect that story to change this time around"

Result: 30 goals, 29 assists.  Pow!



Claude Giroux:

Quote: "may challenge the big dogs for the scoring title when all is said and done in 2012."

Result: finished 3rd in scoring



Joffrey Lupul:

Quote: "he could emerge as a top scoring threat for Toronto."

Result: clearly emerged as a top scoring threat...



Eric Staal:

Quote: "sleep easy drafting Staal, knowing you're guaranteed about 30 goals and 70 points"

Result: 70 points on the money. 



Logan Couture:

Quote: "he sits 3rd on the depth chart at center...which will somewhat cap how high his stats can go this season.  Another 30 goal season would be a good goal."

Result: 31 goals scored.



Patrick Sharp:

Quote: "Another 30 goals should come easily to Sharp"

Result: 33 goals.



Ilya Kovalchuk:

Quote: "he'll get plenty of playing time and opportunity to return to superstar status.  Plan for a return to 40 goals"

Result:  37 goals / 83 points.  Superstar status re-instated.



Brad Richards:

Quote: "Richards has shown throughout his career that he's incredibly talented, but very inconsistent… Expect another dip in the numbers this season.  And expect someone else in your draft to pick him up too early. "

Result: drafted too early by many last season.  Points dipped from 77 to 66, as expected.



Mike Ribeiro:

Quote: "Ribeiro has reached the top of his mountain and is slowly sliding down the other side… Don't look for more than 20 goals out of him, but he will dish up plenty of assists."

Result: 18 goals, 45 assists.



Patrick Marleau:

Quote: "his goal scoring has been pretty dependable….at the end of the season, you'll be happy with another 30 goal effort"

Result: 30 goals on the money



Lubomir Visnovsky:

Quote: "A whopping 18 goals and 68 points will be hard to repeat. ... to assume he'll be the #1 guy again this season is too much for me to risk.  Let someone else overpay in the first couple of rounds."

Result: Huge nosedive down to 27 points.  Hope you didn't draft him early.



Alex Pietrangelo:

Quote: "you can expect a healthy bump in his numbers, making him a prime breakout candidate."

Result: 12 goals, 51 points.  4th best fantasy defenseman.  Breakout indeed.



Henrik Lundqvist:

Quote:  "It's that consistency that makes him your safest option for a #1 goalie this year."

Result: Vezina.  Nailed it.






On the other hand…



Alex Ovechkin:

Quote: "#8 is the best bet out there to dominate fantasy hockey in 2011-12. Look for him to get back to 50 goal form."

Result: suffered through his worst season to date



Scott Hartnell:

Quote: n/a -- didn't see him on the radar at all

Result: 4th best overall fantasy value for forwards.  Raise your hand if you saw that one coming…  (liar).



Chris Stewart:

Quote: "Look for him to crack the 30 goal mark, if he can stay in uniform."

Result: Cracked the 30 point mark.  But just 15 goals.



Drew Doughty:

Quote: "There's little doubt that he'll rebound and put up another 50+ points this time around"

Result: 36 points.  Contract hangover was worse than expected.



Alex Goligoski:

Quote: "Expect another bump in the point totals this season, putting him into the 15 goals / 50 point territory.  He could easily finish as a top 10 defenseman this year."

Result: 9 goals, 30 points.  Off by a mile.




Don't forget to drop by next week as we begin to unveil our picks for the 2012 NHL Fantasy Hockey season.

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