Draft Guru - Notes

Landshark Hockey breaks down your Fantasy Hockey Draft. Select the category for insight on NHL players to help plan your draft list.


Falling

The trends indicate that these boys are on the way down. You have to know when a star player has maxed out his potential and has started down the slope to retirement or obscurity.

Offense

Marian Hossa     CHI After countless injuries and 15 seasons in the NHL, Hossa's best days are clearly behind him. He remains a dependable all around player for the Hawks, but that will translate less and less going forward in fantasy numbers. Look for the numbers to trail off a bit this season, even if he manages to play 82 for the first time since 2007.
Patrick Marleau     SAN Marleau's fantasy numbers have been on a steady decline for some time now. However, he continues to pop in enough goals to keep him very relevant. While the best is the past here, you should be able to settle for 25 goals with a mid to late round draft selection.
Patrick Sharp     CHI Sharp suffered most of the season with shoulder problems, and it showed even after returning to the lineup. His sniper blade seemed to missing. He had a nice run in the playoffs, showing us that he's not ready to be written off; however, the injury risk is too great to spend an early pick here. Another 30 goal season would be surprising.

Defense

Dan Boyle     SAN Boyle has been a top tier fantasy fixture for almost a decade now. We started to see the production tail off just a little last season. It's unreasonable to expect fantasy dominance to go on forever. He will remain a decent #3 option, but don't overreach for a declining asset.
Kimmo Timonen     PHI According to the number, which I'm told do not lie, Timonen was in the top 10 in total fantasy points for defenseman last season. Not shocking, given his history as a go-to fantasy guy. Somewhat shocking, given his age and how poorly Philly performed. At age 38, Timonen is likely looking at his last go-round. He will yield minutes to youngsters like Schenn and newcomers like Streit, which will likely impact his point totals. 35 points would be a lofty goal at this point.

Goalies

Martin Brodeur     NJD For the first time in his career, Brodeur enters the season with a legitimate challenge to his job. Best case has him splitting time with Schneider on one of the worst teams in the league. Seems unlikely to add more than 10 wins to his sizable career total.
Ryan Miller     STL Miller's stock continues to nosedive. The Sabres are massively struggling to find their way, and rumors continue to persist that Miller may be dealt in the final year of his contract. He has the skills necessary to be a solid #2 fantasy goalie this season, but it depends greatly on the overall success of the Sabres.
Evgeni Nabokov     NYI Last season, Nabokov delivered a stellar fantasy campaign, reminiscent of his glory days in San Jose. He brought stability to the Islanders net for the first time in decades. It looked as though he would ride off into the sunset (KHL) after the playoffs, but instead, he appears to be ready to give it one more go on an improving Islanders squad. He should get plenty of goal-scoring support this season, and should see plenty of shots. Expect another decent performance, but a repeat of last year's finish (8th in total fantasy points) seems like a reach.
James Reimer     TOR Reimer delivered one of the best seasons in 20 years for a Toronto goaltender. He was solid through the playoffs as well; however, one off-season move casts serious doubts on his fantasy value. The Leafs brought in Bernier, who will steal a significant number of starts from Reimer this season. Compared to last season, you should expect a notable step backwards in fantasy value based on that relationship.
Cory Schneider     NJD The future may be better for Schneider, now that he has a clear path to #1 status; however, his team figures to be among the worst in the NHL this season. And he still has to deal with playing next to, or behind, the greatest goalie of the past 50 years. Not an ideal situation if you're turning to him as your #1, or even #2 option in net. Expect a huge decline in fantasy value this season.