The Shark Blog
by chewy
16. January 2013 09:19
Everyone seems to be
in scramble mode this week to pull together drafts, leaving very little time to
prepare. If you're like me and play on
various sites, it's easy to forget the rules and nuances of each league. Blindly drafting without regard to the rules
can be fatal. Even if you're Biff
Tannen and you know exactly how many points each player will score next season,
it's no guarantee for fantasy victory if you don't fashion your draft strategy
to the league you're in. In this post,
I'll give you some tips and guidance on how to draft (and win) in a standard
CBS fantasy hockey league.
Point System
The first step for
any league is to study the point system so you know the relative value of each
position. CBS does a good job of
weighting the value of offense, defense, and goaltending, to ensure that each
position has somewhat equal weight.
Quick recap of points in key categories:
Offense: Goals = 3, Assists = 2
Defense: Goals = 5,
Assists = 3
Goalies: Win = 5,
Saves=.2 , GA=-1
Offense/Defense
So what does this
mean? First off, the tendency for the
inexperienced GM is to blow off drafting defensemen until the later rounds,
since the big names and leading scorers obviously come from the forwards. Huge mistake here. Because of the weighting of points, a 20 goal
scorer on offense will earn 60 points for his efforts, while a 20-goal
performance by a defenseman will net 100 points. Another critical factor to realize is the
relative gap between the elite players on defense versus on offense. When it comes to defensemen, there's a fairly
small number of predictable, elite performing players. After that group of 10 or so, it drops off
considerably to the point where it doesn't matter much who you pick. The story is different for forwards. (Aside from a few obvious exceptions like
Crosby, Stamkos, and Malkin), you won't see a huge point difference between the
top 10 forwards and the next 20 or so on the list.
Bottom line here:
don't be shy about drafting one or two defensemen in the first 4 rounds, even
if it means enduring a laugh or two from your unschooled competition.
And what about the
other stats categories?
- Penalty Minutes - At .25 a
piece, it's worth considering, but not worth planning your draft around
it. There are few players in the
league that bring a steady diet of points and PIMs. Those that do should be bumped up your
list a few notches (Perry, Lucic, Clowe, Marchand); however, don't go
crazy drafting goons.
- +/- - Perhaps the most
arbitrary stat in fantasy sports.
Don't waste your time trying to predict this one. Generally speaking, favor players on
good teams over those with poor goal ratios. Often times a decent +/- will line up
nicely with points, and when it doesn't, it's not worth worrying about.
- SHG/PPG - For as often as a
short handed goal is scored, pay no attention. Power Play time (and goals) on the other
hand are more predictable and should factor into your rankings. CBS offers a bonus point for each goal
on the power play, so give a slight boost to guys like Selanne and Franzen
that might otherwise not be worth a look.
Goalies
CBS strikes a decent
balance when valuing goaltenders between wins, saves, and goals against. A player who sees a ton of shots (Rinne,
Ward, Smith) has an edge out of the gate over a guy who only has to wake up
every few minutes to turn aside a casual kick save (Lundqvist). So don't completely shy away from a good
goalie on a poor defensive team.
Shutouts are hard to predict, but there are certain goalie who
historically will give you that added bonus on a regular basis (Smith,
Lundqvist). The obvious category (and
the one that may be easiest to predict) is wins. At 5 points a piece, this is where you'll
want to weight a good bit of your ranking for this league.
Bottom line: focus
on Wins and Saves.
Points Per Game Rule
One last point worth
noting in CBS scoring rules is how they award points. It's not the total points earned that matter
in a head-to-head matchup. It's fantasy
points per game played. While this won't affect most of your
decisions at draft time for forwards and defense, it's something to think about
for goaltenders. This makes a
split-crease situation somewhat more palatable. This makes the goalies in St. Louis a prime
target in CBS, whereas they may be overlooked in other formats. Halak could be the most valuable player in
the league. It's still risky to go with
a part-time goalie in net, but in this format, you can pull it off.
Roster Limits
Then 2nd thing to
consider for any league is the number of players per position, and how the
league breaks down offense. The standard
CBS rules call for:
- 2 goalies
- 4 defense
- 6 forwards
- 4 bench spots
One of the nuances
with the CBS draft rules merits serious consideration. While you can mix and match centers and
wingers once the season begins, CBS
limits you to selecting just 3 total centers at draft time. I don't understand why they do it, but if you
don't play to this rule, you could seriously hurt yourself late in the
draft. First off, high-scoring fantasy
centers are abundant. It's tempting to
jump all over guys like Stamkos, Malkin, and Giroux in the early rounds, but
step back and look further down the list.
Guys like Backstrom, Jordan Staal, and Benn will be around much later in
the draft, and is that really so bad? If
you spend 3 early picks on centers, you'll be regretting it in round 14 when
you see that Henrique and Jeff Carter
are still available, but CBS won't let you pick them. Budget your center selection for value and
save one of the 3 for the final couple of rounds. Give yourself room to cash in on a sleeper.
Note: Perhaps the most frustrating part about
this rule is that it's different in the mock drafts. In a mock draft, CBS will let you pick up to
6 centers. I had to learn this the hard
way two years back in my Premium League when I went to take Anze Kopitar in
round 9, only to have the unfriendly red text tell me somebody else would be
benefiting from his breakout campaign.
Consider yourself warned.
Also note, some CBS
leagues draw distinction between left wing and right wing (as opposed to
grouping them all together). If this is
the case, you must mock draft this way to learn a thing or two. You'll quickly find the talent pool drops off
considerably by position in these drafts.
Centers are a dime a dozen, relatively speaking here, and shouldn't be
drafted until round 5 or later.
Goalies
In a 12 team league
starting 2 goalies, it's critical to get at least one elite player at this
position. Having two is even
better. If you don't pick a goalie in
either round 1 or 2, you may lose interest quickly, because you'll be losing on
a regular basis. There's only so much
talent to go around, and you'll only find a handful of useful options on the
waiver wire over the course of the year.
Contrast that with the forward position.
You're guaranteed to always have a serviceable forward available
throughout the season when the need arises, purely based on quantity.
Note: The 3 player
limit also applies to goalies during the draft, so if you're the type that
likes to stash 2 backups on your bench, you'll have to wait until after the
draft to add #4. The approach here
should be different than for centers, however.
There are only 25 or so goalies worth drafting, and you need a good
player in your 3rd slot, so do not wait past round 11 or 12 to grab your
backup.
Bench
CBS grants you 4
bench spots, one for each position.
Again, once the draft is done, you can fill those 4 spots with any mix
of position. At draft time, you'll
obviously want to place 1 center and 1 goalie in there. Beyond that, feel free to grab 2 defense, 2
wingers or 1 of each. You'll probably
end up dropping one of those within a few weeks anyway (possibly for 4th center
or goalie), so don't sweat it much.
Player Rankings
The third major
factor to consider is the default player rankings in CBS. Each site features their own set of player
rankings, and it's worth studying them in order to guess the tendencies of your
opposition. Most GMs will tend to lean
on the default rankings, particularly late in the draft. With this in mind, you can learn a lot by
searching for both underrated and overrated players in their listings.
Undervalued Players
If you run through a
mock draft or two, and look through the rankings, you should find some players
significantly undervalued in their rankings.
While you may have ranked these players quite high on your list, they may
just go a few rounds later than you would have picked them. Take advantage of this information and spend
that early pick on a another position and get the value in the next round. This is a risky strategy, but if you're in it
to win, you've got to take some chances to cash in big. Here are some players that I find to be
noticeably undervalued by CBS's rankings:
Goalies: Halak, Fleury, Schneider (perhaps they don't
get news out of Vancouver?)
Defense:
Ekman-Larsson, Streit
Centers:
Nugent-Hopkins, J. Staal
Wingers: Neal,
Gaborik, Vrbata, Lupul
NOTE: if you're in a
more serious league with established managers, take this advice with a grain of
salt. If you know what you're doing,
you'll have done your own homework and have your own custom draft list.
Overvalued Players
On the opposite end,
it's worth looking for players that CBS has rated artificially high against
your personal draft list. In this case,
you have a decision to make. If you want
the player badly enough, know that you'll have to grab him earlier than you
would like. A better bet may be to
resign yourself to finding value someplace else. Here are a handful of players that probably
won't make it on to my squad, as somebody is bound to grab them way too early
for my liking:
Goalies: Howard,
Bryzgalov, Luongo (see Schneider above)
Defense: Ehrhoff,
Del Zotto, Brendan Smith
Centers: Datsyuk,
Zetterberg, Kopitar (hurt)
Wingers: P. Kane,
Parise, Brunner
Tomorrow, we'll
delve into the Yahoo fantasy draft strategy.
by chewy
8. January 2013 09:21
If you're like most
and haven't given much thought to fantasy hockey over the past 8 months (either
out of self-defense, spite, or indifference), you may need a little help
getting grounded before piecing together your fantasy squad this week. So, here's a quick primer to get your mind
back on important matters:
2011-12 RECAP
- Last season was largely about
the dominance of the Penguins (at least in the regular season). Malkin and Neal were unstoppable. Crosby was dominant as ever in half a
season of action. Jordan Staal
played his way out of town with a career season. Kris Letang would have been in the
running for the Norris, had he stayed healthy.
- Steven Stamkos ran away with
the goal scoring title, pounding in another 60 tallies
- Claude Giroux continued to
show he deserves a spot among the elite, with a 93 point effort
- Jason Spezza returned to star
status, finishing 4th in scoring
- Erik Karlsson was in a class
by himself on defense, amassing 78 points and 19 goals
IN THE CREASE
- After several years of being
overlooked, Lundqvist finally earned a Vezina
- Jonathan Quick made his case
for top goalie, piling up 10 shutouts
- Mike Smith emerged as a top
tier goalie in Phoenix with a .930 save percentage and 8 shutouts of his
own
- Brian Elliot and Jaroslav
Halak formed the best 1-2 punch in the league, combining for 13 shutouts
- Tim Thomas likely played out
his final campaign, opening the door for Tuukka Rask to emerge this year
- Roberto Luongo slowly slid
back in favor of Cory Schneider, opening the door for a likely trade this
season
- Ilya Bryzgalov mostly crashed
and burned in his Philly debut
SURPRISES
- Patrik Elias and Ray Whitney
showed they still had something to give, piling up 78 and 77 points,
respectively
- Scott Hartnell became a
serious fantasy factor. Paired with
Giroux, he put up 37 goals on top of 136 PIMs
- Radim Vrbata was among the
league leaders in goals through the first 3/4 of the season, before
fading…
- Joffrey Lupul and Phil Kessel
brought fantasy relevance back to Toronto
- Alex Ovechkin and the Caps
disappeared.
- Marian Gaborik played 82
games
THE (LONG AND
PAINFUL) OFF SEASON
- Jordan Staal joined big
brother and looks to get a more prominent top line center role
- The Minnesota Wild claimed
the big double-whammy, signing Parise and Suter
- Rick Nash finally found his
way out of Columbus and into New York
- Tomas Vokoun was brought into
Pittsburgh to spur Fleury on to post-season success
- Anders Lindback became the
man in the Tampa net
- The decline in Detroit is
eminent. Lidstrom has finally hung
'em up. With Stuart gone, too, look
for the playoff streak to end.
- Lubomir Visnovsky was dealt
to the Isles, against his wishes, went to Russia, and may never come back
- Alex Semin will try to
reignite his scoring touch, moving to divisional rival Carolina
INJURY NEWS
- Ryan Kesler remains on the
shelf in Vancouver with no timeline for return from wrist and should woes
- Marian Hossa appears to be
recovered from the concussion that ended his playoffs
- Anze Kopitar injured his knee
last week and may need a month to recover
- Rick Nash injured his groin
in December, but should be ready to make his Rangers debut on time
Be sure to check out
our free player rankings by position.
You can drag and drop / customize your own fantasy rankings from there
as well. Welcome back, NHL.
by chewy
14. September 2012 10:09
If you're that guy
that drafts your team based purely on last season's stats, you're inevitably
going to waste early picks on players who won't give you the same return this
time around. Don't get caught up in the
hype. Sit back and let the less-informed GM's waste a pick, while you go for
value. Here is a bucket full of players
that may be worth drafting (eventually), but will likely be picked earlier than
they should.
Offense
David Clarkson
NJD
Clarkson has never
been known for racking up the points, so try not to get too excited about those
30 goals he scored last year. That number, combined with a healthy dose of PIMs
was enough for him to finish ranked 56th in total fantasy value. Don't expect a
jump from there, or even a repeat. It's too much to look for Clarkson to get
back to 30 goals again this time around. Don't overpay for one good season…
Patrik Elias
NJD
Every few years
Elias shows up and has a crazy good campaign, only to slide down into average
for a couple years between. Last season was one of those crazy good ones. You
see where I'm going here... In other words, do not expect a repeat of those 78
points in 2012-13. 20 goals and 60 points is a safer bet.
Scott Hartnell
PHI
For those who know
their history from the other side of the state, think Robbie Brown. Few players
in recent memory have had such dramatic success that is so clearly tied to
lining up next to a superstar. Hartnell pieced together a fantastic season,
finishing 4th among forwards in total fantasy value. None of this would have
been remotely possible on the 2nd line, but lined up next to Giroux, he was
money. Should he retain that sweet spot this season, he has considerable worth;
however, there are a handful of up and coming youngsters that will press for a
chance on the top line. Don't overpay based on one great season.
Chris Kunitz
PIT
While he's a key
contributor the Penguins success, his style of play doesn't translate well to
fantasy success. Despite regularly playing with Crosby (when #87 is healthy),
the best he's managed in his 8 year career is 26 goals and 61 points, which he
did last season. It's tough to see him rising above those numbers at this
point. As long as Crosby is healthy, he'll have some value, but his upside is
limited.
Radim Vrbata
PHO
Vrbata was perhaps
the biggest surprise of the year in 2011-12, coming out of nowhere to produce
35 goals. He was actually on pace for 40-45, before cooling off in the final 6
weeks. This came after a decade of 20-goal production. So where do we go from here?
Keep in mind, Ray Whitney will not be back to dish him the puck. Let others
draft him early and watch him slide back down to 20 goal territory again.
Ray Whitney
PHO
Every few seasons,
Whitney emerges with a solid point per game season on a new club. He did it
again last year, climbing all the way up to 14th in overall fantasy value on
offense. Entering the season at age 40 on yet another new team, it seems like a
crazy long-shot to expect it to happen again this season. He will be drafted
way too early. If he falls to round 10, give him a look. But he won't…
Defense
Brian Campbell
FLA
With Campbell, you
need to know your system to assess his value. If points are all that matter,
he's a valuable commodity. What holds him back is his goal production. He
averages about 6 goals a season, while his assists are near tops in the league.
At age 33, he's still a workhorse for the Panthers, averaging close to 30
minutes a game. Regardless of your point system, he obviously has value. It's
up to you to determine how much.
Jason Garrison
VAN
Garrison timed his
career-season perfectly. He cashed in with a big deal with his hometown
Canucks. As a fantasy GM, it's going to take more than one good season to sell
me. A look back at his college career, his minor season with Rochester and his
first few years with the Panthers shows little history of offensive production.
You can't completely overlook the fact that he was a beast for Florida last
season, racking up 16 goals, but he managed just 17 assists. Goal scoring is
harder to reproduce for defensemen, particularly in new environment. Don't
overvalue him until he repeats this success.
Ryan Suter
NAS
Due to the frenzy
that surrounded Suter over the summer, some GMs may be tempted to overvalue him
on their draft lists. He wasn't highly coveted for his fantasy value alone, but
he can contribute as a solid #2 option. He's been very consistent throughout
his career, producing a handful of goals and 30-some assists a year. His
situation in Minnesota should mimic what he was accustomed to in Nashville.
Both teams have a healthy respect for defensive play and lack superstars on
offense to help pad his stats. Another 40+ point campaign is all but certain
here.
Goalies
Craig Anderson
OTT
The Senators were
perhaps the most surprising team of the year, with Anderson racking up an
impressive 33 wins in the process. On paper, they still seem more likley to
miss the playoffs than to make it. It will be a challenge for Anderson to crack
30 wins again this time around. Besides, carrying a 2.83 GAA again last season
did little to help anyone's fantasy squad. Count him as a low-end #2 goalie for
your draft with more downside than upside.
Brian Elliott
STL
A case could be made
that Brian Elliot was the best goalie in the NHL last season. The only thing
that held him back from serious Vezina consideration was his lack of games
played. 9 shutouts in 38 starts certainly raises a brow. So why not rank him
with the elite heading into 2012-13? At best, Elliot will split starts with the
team's true #1, Jaroslav Halak. At worst, he is remembered for that one great
season where he almost become a #1 goalie. Assuming Halak gets healthy and
stays hot, you can expect Elliot to take more of a backseat this time around.
Don't overrate his one great season.
Jimmy Howard
DET
Howard has been
remarkably consistent during his three years as Detroit's #1 man. He has hit
the 35 win marker in all 3 seasons. This year, Detroit threw Gustavsson into
the mix as Howard's backup, but don't expect that to bite into Howard's games
played. He hasn't topped 63 games played in his career to this date. Detroit
won't be the same team without Lidstrom, and nobody will feel that pain more
than the goalie. It seems unlikely that Howard will get back to 35 wins again
this time around. Overrated.
Miikka Kiprusoff
CGY
Kiprusoff continues
to exceed expectations. He's one of the few goalies who provide consistent
fantasy value on a consistently poor NHL team. One man can't continue to carry
the load forever and Calgary has done little to show they're serious about
turning the ship around any time soon. Kiprusoff tends to get drafted a bit too
early for my taste. Too much working against the aging veteran to trust beyond
a bench spot.
Ondrej Pavelec
WIN
Pavelec remains the
#1 goalie in Winnepeg by default. He's done little in his career thus far to
get fantasy owners excited with career GAA of 2.99. On the plus side, he has
seen his playing time, and wins, increase steadily over each of his 5 NHL
seasons. He's entering his prime and faces only a slight challenge from Montoya
for the job. Draft him if you're in dire need of goalie starts. Otherwise, look
elsewhere.
Cam Ward
CAR
With Ward, it's
important to know your particular league's point system. If saves are heavily
rewarded, he's your man. Ward faces more rubber each night than most, playing
behind the pourous Carolina defense. However, if more traditional stats, such
as GAA and Wins drive your point system, Ward may be a bit overrated. Through 7
seasons, he has gone below a 2.5 GAA just once. Last season, his numbers
inflated to 2.74. His job in Carolina is never in doubt, so he will get his
chances. Consider him a servicable #2 goalie option.
by chewy
10. September 2012 14:02
Often times the best
value to be found at the draft table is on players who recently suffered a
downturn, but are poised to turn things around.
Sometimes you have to just forgive and forget. Last season is in the
past and let's move on. Here are some guys who should see a significant rebound
in their production this season.
Offense
Jeff Carter
LOS
It was a fascinating
season for Carter, as he journeyed through highs and lows before ending the
season with a Stanley Cup held over his head. He was traded twice, and injured
multiple times, which prevented him from finding any kind of chemistry or rhythm.
He ultimately was able to contribute for LA and should be ready for a fresh
start in 2012. Expect a bounce back in goal and point totals this year, in the
neighborhood of 35 / 70.
Matt Duchene
COL
Duchene set the bar
pretty high with his first two seasons, which made last year's troubles so
disappointing. If the Avs are going to improve, it will have to be on the
shoulders of this man. 2012-13 was significantly interrupted by a sever knee
injury in late December. He never found his form after that and finished with
just 28 points in 58 games. He may fall off the map for most in your draft, so
put the ole * next to his name and snag him in a late round. A fresh start
should help him get back into fantasy relevance. Remember, he's just 21 years
old and his best is still to come.
Alex Ovechkin
WAS
The last two seasons
have been disappointments for fans of #8, who had grown accustomed to seeing
him dominate the league for first five years of his career. So, can he get back
to that level again? Perhaps only Adam Oates knows. Last season, Ovechkin ranked
30th in total fantasy value. It's hard to imagine him finishing that low again.
Look for a big correction in 2012-13.
Derek Roy
DAL
Roy has average a
mere 40 points over the last two seasons. 2011 can be explained, since he only
played 35 contests and scored 35 points. What happened last year is a mystery.
80 games, 44 points, and a ticket to Dallas. I'm not ready to write off this talented
center, particularly since he has a new start and will be feeding Jagr early in
the year. Expect a comeback.
Chris Stewart
STL
2011-12 was a
complete write-off for Stewart, who all but disappeared from the fantasy
picture. This followed a couple of seasons where he projected as a top notch
power forward. The adjustment to St. Louis has not been easy. He still provides
plenty of PIMs, but will need to regain the goal-scoring touch that netted
back-to-back 28 goal seasons. You can target him late on the hopes of a
comeback season.
Defense
Drew Doughty
LOS
Doughty was a
colossal disappointment through the first half of last season. By the end of
the season, and certainly after lifting the Cup, memories of the big-contract
hangover were long gone. Through January 2011, he had managed just 2 goals. He
closed the season with 10 goals and 36 points. With a Cup ring on his finger,
he is poised to challenge for some personal hardware this time around.
Mike Green
WAS
Has there ever been
such a dramatic fall from grace for a fantasy hockey superstar? After
consecutive seasons with 70+ points, the last two years for Green have been
horrific. He hasn't been healthy for a long time, which obviously limited his
chances. When he did play, he struggled to understand his role in the new-look
controlled Capitals systems. He was the heart of the run and gun Capitals and
found himself wondering what his role is. Assuming he's healthy, he still has
the raw talent to be a huge fantasy factor. It may come down to Adam Oates and
how much of a green light he gives Green. Green claims to be healthy and
optimistic about the 2012 coaching situation, so this could be the steal of the
draft if you catch him with a mid-round selection.
Tyler Myers
BUF
Myers has now
recorded 3 season in the NHL and has seen his stats drop each year, following
his Calder Trophy year. Last season was largely interrupted by a broken wrist
that held him out for all of December. The Sabres came on strong down the
stretch last season, as did Myers. Expect a big time bounce back for his
fantasy value in 2012-13.
by chewy
9. July 2012 09:51
Unless you're a
true, die-hard fantasy hockey addict, early July isn't the time to start
agonizing over your draft list. However,
for those of us who do fit that profile, the week after "Free Agent
Frenzy" is the perfect time to start the agonizing. Aside from a few more miscellaneous signings,
and one or two potential pending trades, there really isn't a whole lot of new
information that will significantly alter your rankings between now and
September. Most of the significant
moves are in the books. So, before
agonizing over Crosby vs Malkin vs Giroux, let's regroup and consider the fantasy
impact from the signings and trades so far this summer:
The Big Ones
- Parise
/ Suter bombshell in Minnesota
Despite
all the hype, mostly due to a shallow pool of UFA's, the impact of these deals
will felt more in terms of season ticket sales and wins for the Minnesota
organization than it will on the fantasy scene.
While both of these players have significant fantasy potential, neither
can be considered a fantasy superstar.
For
the most part, Parise has slightly underperformed against fantasy expectations
thus far in his career. Going from the
Devils to Mike Yeo's defense-first system won't significantly help him on that
front. Neither will his lack of top
notch partners with the Wild. While he
will see as much playing time as he can handle, his prospects for fantasy gold
have not changed much, making him a 2nd or 3rd tier winger once again.
The
story for Suter isn't much different. He
was already playing close to 30 minutes a game for Nashville, so he can't play
more. His value to an organization isn't
primarily measured in goals and assists.
Suter has lingered around 5 goals and 40 points for the past 5 years,
and there is no reason to believe that will change by moving north a few
hundred miles.
Staal
proved during Crosby's absence over the past couple of seasons that he does
have an offensive side to his game, when he's given the authorization to use
it. While I don't see him besting big
brother on the scoresheet on most nights, I do anticipate a career year
offensively for Jordan in his new colors.
70 points is a realistic target, which would top his previous best by
20.
Coming
the other way, Brandon Sutter finds himself in the same shadow that Staal just
fled. The young center now has 4 NHL
seasons on his resume and proved at times last year, that he is also capable of
respectable offensive production. Given
the certainty that Malkin and Crosby cannot possibly remain healthy all season
long, he will get a shot or two on the 2nd line at some point, so topping his
career high of 40 points is well within range.
The Underrated, but More Important than you think
deals
- Derek
Roy / Jaromir Jagr to DAL
Roy
has been down and out over the past couple of seasons in Buffalo; however, he
had a few stretches of brilliance last season.
He's coming into a good spot in Dallas where he will assume the 2nd line
center role previously occupied by the unstable Ribiero. I would expect a big boost in Roy's numbers,
perhaps playing with fellow newcomer, Jaromir Jagr.
- Tuukka
Rask / Tim Thomas ordeal in Boston
Who
knows why exactly things turned so bizarre in the Boston net over the past
several months, but coming out the other end, you have a very promising young
goaltender who just signed an extension, playing net for a very promising team
in Boston. He was tagged by some to be a
pre-season Vezina candidate two years ago, before Thomas had his second revival
and did it himself. At age 25 and with
the job completely his from the get go, this could be a banner year for Rask in
Boston.
The
big question here is whether his impact in Colorado will be as great as the
hole he'll leave on Long Island. Just
when New York fans get some semblance of a consistent top-notch scoring line,
the clowns upstairs let a key piece walk.
Parenteau clicked with Tavares over the past two seasons and it remains
to be seen who will step up and fill that spot.
Will Tavares be able to top the 80 point mark again with Okposo or Brad
Boyes hanging out on the right side?
- Jason
Garrison goes long distance, FLA to VAN
Garrison
picked the perfect time to have a breakout, offensive campaign. Just in time to cash in with a big-money
contract on a more exciting hockey club with Vancouver. The Canucks are still looking to replace the
offense they've lost in recent seasons from their defense. Should Garrison continue his upward
trajectory, he could be a significant fantasy factor in 2012-13
- Cory
Schneider re-signs with the Canucks
Keeping
with Vancouver, the low-profile 3-year extension given to "backup"
Cory Schneider is significant, particularly given the uncertain status of
Luongo with the franchise. Should Luongo
be moved this summer, as some expect, Schneider instantly becomes a top 10
goaltending option. Possibly even top 5.
The Forgettable
Sullivan
had a nice, short run with the offensively gifted Pens last season. He won't be a fantasy factor in Phoenix this
year.
No
reason to think at age 27 that Carle's production will be any different in
Tampa. Expect another 35 to 40 point
season.
The
Jets were a surprisingly entertaining offensive bunch last season. So what will Jokinen add to this mix as the
potential new #1 center? If his history
is any indication, this may backfire.
Potluck Supper
Saying
goodbye to one puzzle on offense, the Flames turned around and brought a new
one in. He never had the opportunity to
be a go-to guy in Detroit. He may
flourish or may disappear in a new home.
How
many kicks at the can will this guy get?
At age 35, expectations should be set pretty low from a fantasy
perspective; however, that cannon can still fire from the blue line.
The Yet-To-Come
- Rick Nash - Who will overpay
in a trade? Chances are it will be
another team in desperate need of offense, which means Nash still will
have little assistance.
- Alex Semin - Will anyone take
a serious chance on this guy?
Expect a short-term deal with a contender, but no telling how he
will perform. Probably worth a risk
at your draft depending on where he lands.
- Shane Doan - At age 35, he's
a 20-goal man at best, regardless of where he lands.
- A winger for Crosby - will
Shero find that elusive piece to the Pittsburgh puzzle this summer?
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