The Shark Blog
by chewy
31. August 2012 13:27
As we hold out hope
that sanity may prevail and we actually do end up having a fantasy hockey
season in 2012, it's time to start putting together your draft list. Over the next few weeks, we will be breaking
down the field by various categories. To
kick things off, we will start with the group that has the best chance to win
your season: breakout players.
Look for these guys
to potentially have a major jump in performance in the upcoming season. You may
get some strange looks from the guys who draft strictly off last year's stats.
But those guys never win anyway.
Offense
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Jamie
Benn
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DAL
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Benn continued his
consistent ascension towards one of the top fantasy wingers in the game;
however, injuries have held him back so far. He set career highs in goals and
assists last season, despite missing 11 games. The Stars brought in some
significant, if aging, talent to boost the top 2 lines. Expect Benn to have a
breakout effort this season. 30 goals and 75 points are a reasonable
expectation.
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Jordan
Eberle
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EDM
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Eberle took a
giant leap forward in his 2nd NHL season. He's now on the verge of entering
the elite. With a full season along side Hall and Nugent-Hopkins, Eberle has
an outside chance at challenging for the scoring lead this season. Expect big
things here.
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Taylor
Hall
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EDM
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If I had to pick
one candidate for a huge breakout season, my money would be on Taylor Hall.
The only thing that could stop him is a potential relapse from the concussion
that held him out of the final 11 games of last season. Hall will be featured
on one of the top lines this season with Eberle and Nugent-Hopkins. He is on
track to start the season in full health. Last chance to draft him before he
enters the elite part of town next season.
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Gabriel
Landeskog
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COL
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At age 19,
Landeskog was the best player for the Avs last season, leading the team in
most stat categories. He was rewarded with the Calder trophy. It's natural to
expect another step forward in his second season. He's not afraid to shoot,
as evidenced by his 270 shots on goal last season. Look for a go at 30 goals.
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Ryan
Nugent-Hopkins
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EDM
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The final piece of
the up-and-coming superstar line in Edmonton, Nugent-Hopkins was held back in
his rookie year by back to back injuries. That likely cost him the Calder
trophy, but he should have plenty of chances at earning hardware over the
next few years. Expect big things from the center in his 2nd season.
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Jeff
Skinner
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CAR
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Following a
fantastic rookie season, Skinner had a rough go at it in his sophomore
season. That would be the concussion that interrupted his progression. The
Canes apparently aren't scared, as they rewarded him with a big 6-year
extension this summer. While Carolina is expecting a big boost from the
arrivals of Staal and Semin, having Skinner reach his potential would have a
bigger impact. With the offensive talent to help him along, look for a big
breakout season from Skinner.
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Jordan
Staal
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CAR
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Through 6 NHL
seasons, Staal has never registered more than 50 points, so why so much cause
for optimism heading into his 7th season. Let me list the reasons: 1) Staal
started his NHL career before he started shaving. He's just 23 years old.
2)He hasn't been healthy for the last 2 seasons. He's back to full health at
this point. 3) Opportunity. He finally gets his shot to be a first or 2nd
line center in Carolina. 4) He's obviously where he wants to be. He basically
dictated his destination when he told the Pens he wanted to play with big
brother. Bottom line is that there are many, many reasons to believe this
will be the breakout season that Staal has been waiting for.
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James
van Riemsdyk
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PHI
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JVR got a big
promotion when he was dealt to Toronto this summer. He went from a very
crowded offense in Philly, where he typically saw 3rd line minutes, to first
line duties in Toronto. The Leafs are toying with placing him at center to
work with Kessel and Lupul on the #1 unit. That move could be the catalyst
for his breakout campaign in his 3rd season.
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Defense
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John
Carlson
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WAS
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It seems that the
hand-off from Mike Green to Carlson is complete. Caps fans will be anxious to
see what new Coach Oates brings to the table, but from a fantasy perspective,
it has to get better than 2011-12. Carlson's production was limited last year
by the system. Assuming he gets the green light to fly, this should be a big
breakout year. Think 50 point season.
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Ryan
Ellis
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NAS
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Ellis was in and
out of the deep defensive lineup of the Predators last season. With Suter
gone, Ellis should see his role, playing time, and best of all, fantasy value
take a big step forward in 2012-13. It's really just a matter of time for
this first round pick to emerge as a fantasy factor.
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Cam
Fowler
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ANA
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Fowler is due for
a big breakout season with the Ducks. Just cover your eyes when you get to
the +/- column. His first two seasons show up as -25 and -28. He's just 20
and is getting more comfortable with his game and the Ducks will be leaning
heavily on him with Visnovsky leaving town. Assuming the Ducks are better as
a team this time around, this should be the year that Fowler emerges as a
fantasy stud.
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Jack
Johnson
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COB
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Johnson's totals
have stayed relatively flat for the past 3 years, lingering around 40 points.
2012 brought a major change to Jackson's prospects. Despite going from the
soon-to-be Cup Champion Kings to the basement dwelling Jackets, Johnson
actually saw a huge boost in his value upon his trade last February. He
immediately went from averaging < 20 minutes a game to logging close to
30. As a results, he amassed 14 points over his final 18 games. That's a
sweet omen for good times ahead.
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Kris
Letang
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PIT
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Letang is on the
verge of superstardom. His progress was hampered last season by concussion
issues. Despite fighting the head problems, he still piled up 10 goals and 32
assists in just 51 games. He's also a consistent contributor in the PIMs
column, making him an all-around must have fantasy prospect in 2012-13. Look
for a career high of 60+ points.
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P.K.
Subban
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MON
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Subban took a
slight step backwards in his sophomore season, but not enough to label it a
slump. As he rolls into his 3rd NHL season, expectations ought to be high. He
is far and away the most dynamic and offensively gifted player on the team,
at any position. He could easily creep into the 15 goal / 50 point territory
to complement his annual 100+ PIMs.
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Goalies
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Jonathan
Bernier
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LOS
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If it weren't for
that Quick guy... much like Schneider in Vancouver, Bernier has been that
great goalie that just has to wait. And wait. With Quick's ascension to one
of the best in the game, Bernier's best chance at reaching his potential may
be with another squad. Because there's a decent chance that may happen, you
may want to stash this guy on your bench and wait for his (and your)
opportunity.
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Jaroslav
Halak
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STL
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You may find it
shocking to see Halak so high on the draft list, but here are three reasons
to believe he's due for a Vezina challenge: 1. He's that good. Think back to
the Olympics when he carried Slovakia. Think back to his spectacular run with
the Habs. He can be a wall. 2. Hitchcock. This man has a history of making
goalies stats silly good. 3. I'm not sold on Elliot repeating his magic.
Halak should emerge as the horse and get his 60 starts. Enough to make this a
gamble worth taking. Feel free to wait on him, as others won't have him in
the top 10. By the end of the season, he'll be a top-5 goalie. So don't wait
too long. Don't forget, St. Louis piled up the wins last season. They just
split 'em up between Halak and Elliot. More will fall this way in 2012-13.
The one concern to keep an eye on up to draft time is how well he has
recovered from last season's ankle injury. Initial word is that he will be
good to go.
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Tuukka
Rask
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BOS
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Perhaps it's a
shocker to see last season's 35th ranked fantasy goalie cracking the top 5 on
the draft list. But this is all about opportunity. When Thomas pulled himself
out for the year, he handed Rask his finest gift, the chance to shine. The
Bruins are a solid defensive team that will win games. Rask was solid last
season with a 2.05 GAA. Now with nobody to challenge him for the spotlight,
he could make a run at 35-40 wins.
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What fans are saying about Landshark Hockey...
Tastes like chicken
- Bob
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